October 26, 2004
Correction of the Day

WSJ, 10/26/04:

NEWS CORP.'S Fox News was incorrectly described in a page-one article Monday as being sympathetic to the Bush cause.

Posted by dbrown at 05:40 PM
Hindsight

My favorite polling note of the morning, via mydd.com, Real Clear Politics (a right-leaning site) made this prediction on the eve of the 2000 election, based on their reading of the polls:

"November 6, 2000
Final RCP Electoral College Analysis:  Bush 446 Gore 92
Bush 51.2  Gore 41.9  Nader 5.8"

Posted by dbrown at 11:08 AM
October 25, 2004
Them Again

missed this over the weekend: Friedman on Iraq

"I was speaking the other day with Scott Pelley of CBS News's "60 Minutes" about the mood in Iraq. He had just returned from filming a piece there and he told me something disturbing. Scott had gone around and asked Iraqis on the streets what they called American troops - wondering if they had nicknames for us in the way we used to call the Nazis "Krauts" or the Vietcong "Charlie." And what did he find? "Many Iraqis have so much distrust for U.S. forces we found they've come up with a nickname for our troops," Scott said. "They call American soldiers 'The Jews,' as in, 'Don't go down that street, the Jews set up a roadblock.' "

Posted by dbrown at 10:32 AM
October 19, 2004
Item number: 2277478418

0639_1_md.jpg

Posted by dbrown at 08:22 PM
October 07, 2004
What Passes for Journalism

Chuck Scarborough, in the 11 pm news lead-in: "Tomorrow, Marth Stewart moves into a gated community. It's called Prison."

Posted by dbrown at 11:01 PM
Ping

okay, so I know this guy reads it

Subject: Link Exchange Request - Porn DVD

Dear Webmaster,

I have visited your site saturation.org and I think that your site could be of interest to our web site visitors.

If you would be interested in swapping links please can you email me your link details, such as the URL you would like me to link to as well as any text you wish me to use in the link and I will link back to yoursite straight away

Posted by dbrown at 02:44 PM
The War

s19.jpg

"I don’t have any regrets. It was the best experience of my life."

from Purple Hearts, Nina Berman's new book on Iraq War veterans

Posted by dbrown at 11:54 AM
October 06, 2004
Green

via tapped, via andrew sullivan, but maybe you didn't see it:

From: "Baghdad, USConsul"
To: "Baghdad, USConsul"
Subject: Warden Message
Date: Wed, 6 Oct 2004 14:36:13 +0000

Warden Message - Increased Security Awareness within the International Zone

On October 5, 2004, at approximately 1 pm, U.S. Embassy security personnel discovered an Improvised Explosive Device (IED) at the Green Zone Café. A U.S. Military Explosive Ordnance Detachment safely disarmed the IED.
American citizens living or working in the International Zone are strongly encouraged to take the following security precautions:

  • Limit non-essential movement within the International Zone, especially at night.
  • Travel in groups of two or more.
  • Carry several means of communication.
  • Avoid the Green Zone Café, the Chinese Restaurants, the Lone Star restaurant and Vendor Alley.
  • Conduct physical fitness training within a compound perimeter.
  • Notify office personnel or friends of your travel plans in the International Zone.
    **** Conduct a thorough search of your vehicle prior to entering it.

Consular Section
US Embassy Baghdad

Posted by dbrown at 06:13 PM
October 05, 2004
These Truths We Hold Self-Evident

over at The Corner:

"WOULDN'T IT BE COOL... [Jonah Goldberg]

If Dick Cheney came out tonight and spoke in fluent jive like Mrs. Cleaver in "Airplane!"?"

Posted by dbrown at 06:15 PM
Revisionist History

Yesterday: '"In 1991, when my dad was president, he saw a threat, and that was that Saddam Hussein was going to overrun Kuwait," said Bush...' Correct me if I'm wrong, but I remember Iraq actually overrunning Kuwait. Am I missing some subtlety here?

Posted by dbrown at 10:43 AM
Gore 2000

I've been using an argument a lot lately, that one way to interpret (i.e., be encouraged by) this year's polling is to look at what the polling thought of Al Gore in late-October/early-November 2000. I've been saying that right up to the election, most polls had him down 2 points or so -- and I believe a similar under-reporting of Democratic votes is happening, and will happen, in 2004.

This morning I actually looked up the numbers, presented by the essential pollingreport.com. If you look at the last days of the cycle then, Bush mostly led by more than 2 points -- 3, 4, 5, 6, 9 point leads in the last days. (Interestingly, many poll tightened up on 11/6, the eve of the election.) There's some good analysis out there on the "incumbent rule," notably at mydd.com, which predicts that undecideds always skew toward the challenger. Combine the two trends (which I'm sure are inextricably linked and more like 1+1=1.4) and a polled tie looks pretty great.

Posted by dbrown at 08:38 AM
October 01, 2004
Natassja & The Snake

Photographer Richard Avedon Dies in Texas

Avedon was one of the two greatest living photographers, until today. What I admired most -- well, that 1960s work was pretty fucking incredible -- was that in the past 2 years he got it all back, like that image of Charlize Theron in the New Yorker. Never much liked the fashion work, but, man, he and Irving Penn changed the portrait forever and ever.

As I told a saturation reader recently, there were two books, discovered in a bookstore in 1986 at the age of 17, that propelled me out and into the photographic world: Avedon's In The American West, and Nan Goldin's Ballad. For that I can never repay him.

Posted by dbrown at 02:10 PM